WHY TO SUCK FOR LUCK
The idea that a team should purposefully lose games in order to obtain Andrew Luck in the draft is smart. Most experts are saying that Andrew Luck is the best prospect since former Stanford alum John Elway. If Andrew Luck can have half the success that Elway did he would easily be worth taking a dive for. Because, if you cut Elway’s numbers in half you would still have 150 TDs, 25000 yards, five playoff appearances, two Super Bowl appearances and one title. There is no way you can convince me that a team like the Chiefs, Bengals, Lions, Raiders, Dolphins, Redskins, Titans, Texans, Browns or Raiders all who have failed to win a single playoff game in the last 7 years wouldn’t kill to have a QB with half the stats that Elway had over that time period.
Furthermore, the NFL with rule changes has become a far more QB driven league over the last five years. The days of winning a Super Bowl with the likes of Dilfer or Brad Johnson are over. Seven of the last eight super bowl winning teams have QBs that will likely be enshrined in Canton someday the only exception being Eli Manning, and even he is considered a top 10 QB in the league. Like it or not the Ravens, Jets , Bears, Seahawks and 49ers you are not going to win a super bowl with Flacco, Sanchez, Cutler, Hasselback or Smith at the helm, unless they step up their games.
For the reason that you are not going to win a Super Bowl without a top ten QB in today’s league is a reason why I think even average teams should consider bombing their season. Teams like the Bills, Redskins and Titans have spent the last decade with limited success, a playoff appearance here or there. That is just not acceptable it is worse than being in purgatory. Your team shows you just enough good play to get your hopes up and allows you to think this may be our year, just to squash your hope like a bully who pulls away your lunch at the last second as you feebly try to get it back from him. If any mediocre team was able to get the Andrew Luck we are expecting to see they will be legitimate super bowl contender every year like Bress, Brady, Peyton and Rodgers make their teams every year.
Also, because of the new CBA, you will be able to sign Andrew Luck for pennies on the dollar, for what he would be worth on the open market. Luck’s contract will roughly be 4 years 22 million, based on what Cam Newton got this year. Furthermore, this will allow whoever gets Luck to sign talent around him to make him get better quicker. Also, look at what rookie QBs have been able to do in the last two years. Dalton, Bradford and Newton have all put up huge numbers.
Then there are those who argue that Luck may not come out this year. To those people I say, so, who cares? Suck it up next year as well. Just grab one of the four really good WRs coming out this year (Blackmon, Floyd, Fuller or Broyles). Then suck next year and get Luck. Look at how this has turned around the Lions. They sucked got Calvin Johnson; sucked some more got Stafford, then continued to suck and got Suh. Arguably, they now have the league’s top DT an elite WR and a top 10 QB.
Another argument against the suck for Luck strategy is that purposefully losing is wrong. This is an absurd argument teams do this all the time when they trade away a current star in favor of getting prospects for the future. Or, a team will trade away a star in order to make room for their up incoming player to have a place to play. The 49ers did this with Young when they traded Montana or when the Packers traded Favre to the Jets in order to make room for Rodgers. Thus, sucking momentarily in order to get better for the future is common place in the NFL and sports in general. Furthermore, teams have bombed at the end of the season on purpose to get the first overall pick, like the Cavs did in order to have a better chance to obtain LeBron James. Who in turn made the Cavs relevant in the NBA.
Some argue that one player cannot make a difference in the NFL. This is just untrue, at least when it comes to the QB position. See how badly the Colts are doing without Peyton Manning or how the Cardinals fell off the face of the earth when Kurt Warner retired or how the Packers fell off when Favre left. And then there are the Broncos and Dolphins who have been in a complete funk ever since Elway and Marino left. At least both those teams seem to understand the reasons why you need to suck for luck based on their records.
The only possible reason not to suck for Luck is if Andrew Luck pulls an Eli Manning power move and demands to go someplace and refuses to go to the team with the number one overall pick. I doubt this happens for several reasons. One, Andrew Luck is not the spoiled little brat Eli was coming out of school. Second, the NFL coaching world has gotten harsher since 2003, most likely the team with the first pick next year won’t keep their coach around in that case they will consult with Luck before they make the hire knowing that he will be the team’s franchise QB. This is not absurd to do it is common sense to want your QB and head coach on the same page look at what happened when you don’t both get booted from town like Fisher and Young did.
So simply put one or two years of suffering is well worth it for a true lifetime fan and for a franchise. Is it likely anyone will indeed suck for Luck? No. Will they tell us if they do? Even less likely. But if a franchise is smart enough and really care about their fans they should.